4.) Sen. Joe Manchin, West Virginia

Joe Manchin is among the most skilled con artists in the Democrat caucus. He put his name on gun control, after campaigning as a pro-gun Democrat. He voted for Gorsuch and can afford to vote for Kavanaugh, even though it might cost him some liberal donors. He’s up 7 points in his latest poll and doesn’t want to remind West Virginians how liberal he is. He’s probably in the Yes column. 

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