Professor Who Predicted Trump’s Victory in 2016 Explains Why He Will Win Again

 

A professor who predicted Trump’s 2016 victory is predicting that Trump will beat Joe Biden in 2016.

According to Fox News:

A political science professor who predicted President Trump’s win in 2016 is forecasting another victory.

“OK, the key to the November election is the primaries. And, the only primaries [are] already giving us a lot of information,” he explained.

“And, based on that, Donald Trump won them very easily in his party,” Norpoth continued. “Joe Biden — the likely nominee for the Democrats — had a great deal of trouble holding it together. But, on balance, it’s that stronger performance of primaries that gives Donald Trump the edge in November.”

Norpoth’s “Primary Model” shows that President Trump has a 91 percent chance of being reelected and also shows he would get 362 electoral votes. The model is based on a statistical and historical theory that the professor outlines.

President Trump would need to carry the states he carried in 2016 plus 8 more states. Those states would be New Mexico, Nevada, Colorado, Vermont, Virginia, Minnesota, Maine, and New Hampshire.


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