President Trump has seen his polling numbers get better over the last two months and a closer look at the numbers shows he is gaining the momentum he needs to win reelection.
According to Town Hall:
He tried to be the canary in the coal mine in 2016. Liberal activist Michael Moore said he wouldn’t be shocked if Trump won in 2016. In fact, he gave five reasons why during that cycle, while repeating his prediction that Trump would win on HBO’s Real Time with Bill Maher, which probably shocked audiences. He’s a Michigan native. As Beth wrote for VIP, he noted the “off the charts” enthusiasm for Trump could be the ticket to a second term:
Mikey knew in 16. He knows now.
Michael Moore warns of 2016 repeat: Enthusiasm for Trump 'off the charts' https://t.co/R0C0lbPFQo
— Larry Schweikart (@LarrySchweikart) August 29, 2020
Sorry to have to provide the reality check again, but when CNN polled registered voters in August in just the swing states, Biden and Trump were in a virtual tie. In Minnesota, it’s 47-47. In Michigan, where Biden had a big lead, Trump has closed the gap to 4 points. Are you ready for a Trump victory? Are you mentally prepared to be outsmarted by Trump again? Do you find comfort in your certainty that there is no way Trump can win? Are you content with the trust you’ve placed in the DNC to pull this off?”
The Biden campaign just announced he’ll be visiting a number of states— but not Michigan. Sound familiar? I’m warning you almost 10 weeks in advance,” Moore explained. “The enthusiasm level for the 60 million in Trump’s base is OFF THE CHARTS! For Joe, not so much.
Not only that, but Biden is making a stop in reliably Democratic Pittsburgh to call Trump a monster of racism again. Our own Ellie Bufkin is in the Keystone State as well, but in the areas that will decide the election and, uh, let’s just say things aren’t looking too good for Joe. Be sure to catch her coverage this week on that subject. But a fresh set of polls do point to what Moore has been saying. For starters, Independent voters now break for Trump by a solid 10-point margin. If that holds, that’s the election right there. Even before the Republican National Convention was over, we saw the early signs of a Trump bump. The Morning Consult also noted that President Trump, while trailing in their model, is well within striking distance of Joe [emphasis mine]…
President Trump emerged from the GOP convention seeing a bump in polling and gaining in the important battleground of the suburbs.
Betting odds are now virtually tied for the 2020 presidential election.
• Biden: 50.6%
• Trump: 49.1%
Biden was leading 61-37 just one month ago.
— Frank Luntz (@FrankLuntz) August 30, 2020
National Poll Among Independents:
— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) August 30, 2020
1). BREAKING: Democracy Institute shows Trump up nationally and in battlegrounds:
National Popular Vote:
Battlegrounds of FL, IA, MI, MN, PA
— PollWatch (@PollWatch2020) August 30, 2020
Trump got 8 percent of black vote in 2016. I’ve been predicting 11-13 percent in 2020. I’m thinking he could get 14-16 percent now.
— PollWatch (@PollWatch2020) August 28, 2020
— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) August 28, 2020
1) IMO, the straightest path to 270 EVs for Trump (Core 3 + 1)* (Read from bottom-up):
"+ 1": MN (10); WI 10; MI 16; PA (20)
ELECTORAL VICTORY (270)
"Core 3": NC, FL, AZ (55) thus 260 EVs
2016 Trump states very likely re-won (205)
— PollWatch (@PollWatch2020) August 29, 2020
Florida is likely going to count its votes fast on Nov 3… Models I look at suggest Biden's chance of winning the prez if he wins FL is ~95%. It drops below 50% if he loses FL.
— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) August 29, 2020
Trump looks to be charging into the lead nationally and gaining the momentum he needs in Florida.