A new poll conducted by New Impact and FabrizioWard for AARP shows Sen. Raphael Warnock (D-GA) and Republican challenger Herschel Walker statistically tied. According to the poll, Warnock grabbed 51%, while Walker recieved 47%. The poll was conducted from Nov. 11 to 17, with a margin of error of 4.4%. The Daily Caller noted, “independent voters said they would support Warnock by a 54%-39% margin,” which it reported:
Georgia law requires a runoff if no general election candidate clears 50% support. Warnock received 49.2% support in the Nov. 8 general election, while 48.7% of voters supported Walker. Libertarian Party candidate Chase Oliver received about 2.1% support.
A Walker win would force another 50-50 split in the Senate, forcing Democratic leader Chuck Schumer and Republican leader Mitch McConnell to come to another power-sharing agreement. A Warnock win would give Democrats clear control of the upper chamber and majorities on all committees. To help bring Walker across the finish line, Republican Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp has given the McConnell-aligned Senate Leadership Fund (SLF) donor and registered voter lists. SLF is putting at least $2 million towards get-out-the-vote efforts.
Two-time failed Democratic gubernatorial candidate Stacey Abrams is helping Warnock with voter turnout efforts, and former President Barack Obama will appear at a rally for the incumbent Dec. 1. Former President Donald Trump has reportedly expressed interest in campaigning for Walker. However, some Georgia Republicans believe he would hurt the challenger’s chances in the race, according to Politico.
Walker has been dogged by allegations that he encouraged at least two mistresses to have abortions, while Warnock’s church has been accused of violating Georgia non-profit law while operating a low-income apartment complex. Both men have been accused of domestic violence against their ex-wives.
The results of the poll can be seen here:
New Impact (D)/FabrizioWard (R) poll of the GEORGIA RUNOFF for AARP finds:
Warnock (D-inc) 51
Walker (R) 47
Among Indys Warnock leads 54-39
Biden 43 approve/54 disapprove
— Jacob Rubashkin (@JacobRubashkin) November 22, 2022