Former advisor to President George W. Bush Karl Rove has made his predictions for the 2020 election. He predicts a tough battle for Trump but one that is winnable while predicting that the Democrats keep the House of Representatives and the Senate but both with smaller majorities.

According to Town Hall:

“Pete Buttigieg wins Iowa, but no Democrat arrives at the convention with a majority,” he wrote in The Wall Street Jouranl. “The nomination requires delegates switching sides after the initial first vote or a second ballot where superdelegates are permitted to participate. I pick Mr. Biden to win, but I’d take the field if I could.”

He also predicted that Trump will again fall behind in the popular vote due to Democratic efforts to focus on California and New York, but will win Florida and Ohio.

…

“Because Democrats are concentrated in California and New York, Mr. Trump trails in the popular vote. Mr. Trump wins Florida. Ohio, now redder, isn’t in play. Iowa swings Democratic. Mr. Trump does better than in 2016 among African-American and Latino voters,” he wrote.

“The election again comes down to Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin,” Rove continued. “Mr. Trump must win at least two. They’re settled by a wider margin than the 77,744 votes of the 13,940,912 these Blue Wall states cast in 2016. Victory depends on Mr. Trump’s discipline and whom the Democrats nominate. If it’s Mr. Biden, Mr. Trump has an uphill fight; if not, the president wins.”

It will be interesting to see how the fight between President Trump and Joe Biden plays out if that is the matchup.