Georgia

The Peach State features one of the top US Senate races, and one of only four Republican major conversion targets. Sen. Raphael Warnock (D), who won the special election runoff in 2021, is now running for a full six-year term. His opponent is former University of Georgia and professional football star Herschel Walker (R), and the two will continue to battle until the last vote is counted. Georgia has a majority vote rule, so if neither Sen. Warnock nor Mr. Walker reaches 50%, the two will advance to a post-election runoff on December 6th.

The Governor’s race is also intense, which features a re-match between now-Gov. Brian Kemp (R) and former state House Minority Leader Stacey Abrams (D). Polling suggests that Gov. Kemp will win re-election with a larger vote than the small margin he garnered in 2018, which resulted in his claiming the Governorship through a one-point plus win. Though polling is generally looking good for the Republicans here, Democrats are so far exceeding their 2020 early vote performance.

Most of the House races are virtually decided through some key primary challenges in May. The GOP is set to convert the open 6th District in the person of Dr. Rich McCormick, since redistricting made this former Democratic seat safely Republican. Veteran Rep. Sanford Bishop (D-Albany) faces serious competition in his southwestern Georgia CD, but he is again expected to prevail.