Amid Trump’s Legal Battles and Political Comeback: Divided Opinions, Polarized Politics, and Surging GOP Contenders.
Party Division Over Trump’s Criminal Cases
- A recent AP-NORC poll reveals significant division among Americans concerning President Donald Trump’s actions in the criminal cases against him.
- About half believe Trump’s interference in Georgia’s 2020 vote count was illegal.
- Democrats, Republicans, and Independents show widely varying support for criminal charges, with 85% of Democrats, 47% of Independents, and 16% of Republicans approving.
- Overall, 3 in 10 Americans disapprove, including about two-thirds of Republicans.
- Only 17% of U.S. adults express high confidence in the Justice Department, with low levels of confidence spanning the political spectrum (26% of Democrats, 14% of Independents, 7% of Republicans).
Trump’s Standing Among Republicans and Potential Re-Election
- Trump remains popular within the GOP, with 63% of Republicans wanting him to run again.
- His overall approval rating stands at 35% favorable, 62% unfavorable, but 70% of Republicans view him favorably.
- Though Trump has faced indictment four times since April, opinions about the legality of his actions vary among different cases.
Public Perception of Trump’s Actions and Democracy
- 54% think Trump’s actions threatened democracy, compared to 19% who say he defended it.
- Republicans are divided on this issue, with 43% saying he defended democracy, 23% saying he threatened it, and a third saying neither.
- 70% of Americans acknowledge Biden as legitimately elected president, yet 57% of Republicans regard Biden’s election as illegitimate.
Trump’s Standing In The GOP Primary
- Trump leads the poll with 54.8% support, according to Real Clear Politics polling averages.
- DeSantis follows in second place at 14.6%.
- Ramaswamy is gaining ground and approaching DeSantis for the second-place spot, currently at 6.1%.
- Pence is close behind Ramaswamy with 5.3% support.
- Other individuals are battling for spots in debates to keep their campaigns going: (Haley: 3.4%, Scott: 2.6%, Christie: 2.3%, Hutchinson: 0.4%, Hurd: 0.3%, Suarez: 0.3%, Burgum: 0.3%)
Poll | Date |
Trump
|
DeSantis
|
Ramaswamy
|
Pence
|
Haley
|
Scott
|
Christie
|
Spread |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RCP Average | 7/23 – 8/15 | 54.8 | 14.6 | 6.1 | 5.3 | 3.4 | 2.6 | 2.3 | Trump +40.2 |
Quinnipiac | 8/10 – 8/14 | 57 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | Trump +39 |
Economist/YouGov | 8/12 – 8/15 | 55 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | Trump +39 |
Morning Consult | 8/11 – 8/13 | 57 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | Trump +41 |
Fairleigh Dickinson* | 7/31 – 8/7 | 58 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 | Trump +43 |
I&I/TIPP | 8/2 – 8/4 | 57 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | Trump +45 |
Reuters/Ipsos | 8/2 – 8/3 | 47 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | Trump +34 |
Cygnal (R)* | 8/1 – 8/3 | 53 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | Trump +42 |
NY Times/Siena | 7/23 – 7/27 | 54 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | Trump +37 |