Amid Trump’s Legal Battles and Political Comeback: Divided Opinions, Polarized Politics, and Surging GOP Contenders.
Party Division Over Trump’s Criminal Cases
- A recent AP-NORC poll reveals significant division among Americans concerning President Donald Trump’s actions in the criminal cases against him.
- About half believe Trump’s interference in Georgia’s 2020 vote count was illegal.
- Democrats, Republicans, and Independents show widely varying support for criminal charges, with 85% of Democrats, 47% of Independents, and 16% of Republicans approving.
- Overall, 3 in 10 Americans disapprove, including about two-thirds of Republicans.
- Only 17% of U.S. adults express high confidence in the Justice Department, with low levels of confidence spanning the political spectrum (26% of Democrats, 14% of Independents, 7% of Republicans).
Trump’s Standing Among Republicans and Potential Re-Election
- Trump remains popular within the GOP, with 63% of Republicans wanting him to run again.
- His overall approval rating stands at 35% favorable, 62% unfavorable, but 70% of Republicans view him favorably.
- Though Trump has faced indictment four times since April, opinions about the legality of his actions vary among different cases.
Public Perception of Trump’s Actions and Democracy
- 54% think Trump’s actions threatened democracy, compared to 19% who say he defended it.
- Republicans are divided on this issue, with 43% saying he defended democracy, 23% saying he threatened it, and a third saying neither.
- 70% of Americans acknowledge Biden as legitimately elected president, yet 57% of Republicans regard Biden’s election as illegitimate.
Trump’s Standing In The GOP Primary
- Trump leads the poll with 54.8% support, according to Real Clear Politics polling averages.
- DeSantis follows in second place at 14.6%.
- Ramaswamy is gaining ground and approaching DeSantis for the second-place spot, currently at 6.1%.
- Pence is close behind Ramaswamy with 5.3% support.
- Other individuals are battling for spots in debates to keep their campaigns going: (Haley: 3.4%, Scott: 2.6%, Christie: 2.3%, Hutchinson: 0.4%, Hurd: 0.3%, Suarez: 0.3%, Burgum: 0.3%)
|RCP Average||7/23 – 8/15||54.8||14.6||6.1||5.3||3.4||2.6||2.3||Trump +40.2|
|Quinnipiac||8/10 – 8/14||57||18||5||4||3||3||3||Trump +39|
|Economist/YouGov||8/12 – 8/15||55||16||4||3||3||3||2||Trump +39|
|Morning Consult||8/11 – 8/13||57||16||9||7||3||3||3||Trump +41|
|Fairleigh Dickinson*||7/31 – 8/7||58||15||3||5||3||2||5||Trump +43|
|I&I/TIPP||8/2 – 8/4||57||12||8||5||4||2||1||Trump +45|
|Reuters/Ipsos||8/2 – 8/3||47||13||7||8||5||2||0||Trump +34|
|Cygnal (R)*||8/1 – 8/3||53||10||11||7||3||3||2||Trump +42|
|NY Times/Siena||7/23 – 7/27||54||17||2||3||3||3||2||Trump +37|