GOP Primary Poll Shocker: Who’s Gaining Ground?

Photo edit of Donald Trump and other GOP Primary candidates. Credit: Alexander J. Williams III/Pop Acta.
Photo edit of Donald Trump and other GOP Primary candidates. Credit: Alexander J. Williams III/Pop Acta.

A recent poll conducted by Morning Consult for the 2024 National Republican Primary indicates that former President Donald Trump continues to hold a dominant position as the frontrunner among potential competitors. Garnering 56% support from Republican voters, Trump leads by an impressive 34 percentage points over his nearest rival, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, who captured 22% support in the poll.

Trailing behind, former Vice President Mike Pence secures 7% support, while Nikki Haley, ex-U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations, receives 4% of respondents backing. Entrepreneur and businessman Vivek Ramaswamy earns 3% support, with Wyoming Congresswoman Liz Cheney and Senator Tim Scott both obtaining 2% backing. South Dakota Governor Kristi Noem completes the list with 1% support.

According to Breibart:

“Morning Consult also asked Trump and DeSantis supporters who their second choice would be. They both took strong pluralities of one another’s voters, with 44 percent of Trump backers identifying DeSantis as their second option and 42 percent of DeSantis supporters saying they would back Trump if the governor does not run.

The pollster also gauged hypothetical general election match-ups between the leading Republicans and President Joe Biden, showing both GOP candidates two points back of the president. Trump trails by a margin of 44 percent to 42 percent, while Biden leads DeSantis 43 percent to 41 percent.

Morning Consult sampled roughly 6,000 registered voters, including “3,389 likely potential GOP primary voters,” between April 28-30. The unweighted margin of error for the full sample is plus or minus one percentage point, while it is plus or minus one to two percentage points for the GOP primary aspect of the poll.”

Surprisingly, the poll included a hypothetical matchup between Trump and Biden, revealing that Trump lagged behind with 42% support compared to Biden’s 44%. DeSantis was also placed in a theoretical face-off against Biden, with Biden emerging victorious once again, holding a 43% to 41% advantage. In spite of Biden’s advanced age, his poor approval rating, a struggling economy, the risk of entering a conflict overseas, and ongoing cultural tensions, it appears that we are once again headed for a closely contested presidential race.

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